Load Forecast Development Process

The processes for development and implementation of the PJM forecasts are maintained in this section along with Manual 19: Load Forecasting and Analysis WEB | PDF. The normalized peak and allocations for the past several planning periods are also maintained here along with the current Load Forecast Report, PJM Entity Forecast and Load Management historical data.

Forecasts & Reports

Date
5 Coincident Peaks & Weather Normalized Zonal Peaks - Summer
2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 PDF 
 
Load Forecast
2021: Report PDFData XLS
2020 Update: Data XLS
2020: Report PDFData XLS
Previous Reports ZIP

12.30.2020
7.30.2020
12.30.2019
10.20.2020
RPM Forecast
2019: Report PDFData XLS

3.15.2019
Load Forecasting Model Whitepaper - 2016 PDF
 

Supplemental Materials

Date
Weather Normalized Peaks XLS
12.30.2020
Hourly PJM Unrestricted Load with Solar Addbacks 1998-2020 XLS
12.30.2020

2021

 
Load Forecast Supplement PDF 
12.30.2020
Model Accuracy PDF
12.30.2020
Non-Weather Sensitive Load
Estimated History XLS
Model Fit XLS
Forecast Results XLS
 
12.30.2020
12.30.2020
12.30.2020
Distributed Solar Forecast Data XLS 
12.30.2020
Sector Model
Residential XLS
Commercial XLS
Industrial XLS
Forecast Adjustments XLS
End-Use Indices XLS
 
12.30.2020
12.30.2020
12.30.2020
12.30.2020
12.30.2020
Forecast Assumptions
Economic Inputs PDF
End-Use Inputs PDF
Weather Variables XLS

12.30.2020
12.30.2020
12.30.2020
Final Model
Statistical Appendix XLS
Model Residuals XLS

12.30.2020
12.30.2020

Interruptible Load Resources

Date
Peak Shaving Adjustment Plan Template XLS 7.20.2020
Weather Standards for Demand Response Certification PDF
1.12.2021
Historical Load Management Events XLS
11.18.2019